Should I leave my partner? The objective analysis
Maybe it's the question you ask yourself at 3 a.m., lying in the dark next to someone sleeping peacefully. "Do I stay? Do I leave?" You've been thinking about it for weeks, maybe months. Some days, everything seems fixable. Others, you're certain it's over. And the next day, you doubt again.
"Should I leave my partner?" is the most frequently asked question in couples therapy, and paradoxically, one that a therapist will never answer directly. Because the answer can only come from you. But it can be informed by objective data — the kind contained in your everyday conversations.
What science says about relationship prognosis
Over forty years of research, psychologist John Gottman has identified markers that predict whether a couple will stay together or break up with remarkable accuracy.
The 5:1 ratio. A healthy couple produces at least five positive interactions for every negative interaction (Gottman & Silver, 1999). When this ratio drops below 1:1, the prognosis becomes critical. This ratio is measurable in your messages: words of affection, encouragement, "thank you" and "I'm thinking of you" versus criticism, contempt, blame, and punitive silence. The four horsemen of the Apocalypse. Gottman identified four behaviors that predict separation in 93% of cases: criticism (attacking the person rather than the behavior), contempt (superiority, sarcasm, eye-rolling), defensiveness (victimizing yourself, counter-attacking), and stonewalling (shutting down, no longer responding). Our article on the four horsemen of Gottman details each of these patterns. Sternberg's triangle. Robert Sternberg (1986) describes love as a combination of three components: intimacy (emotional closeness), passion (desire and attraction), and commitment (decision to stay). A relationship can temporarily survive without passion, but not without intimacy and commitment simultaneously. Walker's indicators. If the question "should I leave?" is accompanied by fear, control, or violence, Lenore Walker's framework (cycle of violence) applies. In this case, the answer is no longer a matter of compatibility but of safety.What ScanMyLove evaluates in your conversation
The ScanMyLove relationship prognosis report is not based on an impression or feeling: it applies 14 validated psychological models to your actual exchanges to produce a structured evaluation.
The overall health score. A synthetic indicator from 0 to 100, calculated from the Gottman ratio, the presence of the four horsemen, the balance of Sternberg's triangle, and the reciprocity of Chapman's love languages. Patterns of mutual respect. The analysis identifies validating statements ("I understand," "you're right on that point") versus invalidating statements ("you're exaggerating," "that's nonsense"). The proportion between the two is a powerful indicator of relationship health. Emotional engagement. Who initiates deep conversations? Who asks about the other's emotional state? Who proposes solutions after conflict? Asymmetry in emotional engagement is one of the most reliable predictors of progressive disengagement. Evolutionary prognosis. By comparing patterns from the beginning of your message history to those of recent weeks, ScanMyLove identifies your relationship's trajectory: improvement, stagnation, or deterioration. This temporal dimension transforms a static snapshot into a movie.Example: Marine and Lucas's report
Marine, 29, has been with Lucas for four years. "We don't even fight anymore, it's like living with a roommate. I don't know if that's normal after four years or if it's the end."
Analysis of six months of Telegram messages produced the following results:
- Overall health score: 38/100. Well below the threshold of 55 that characterizes couples in a stable zone.
- Positive/negative ratio: 1.2:1. Dangerously close to the critical threshold of 1:1, far from the healthy ratio of 5:1. Positive interactions still existed, but they had become functional ("ok," "thanks") rather than affective ("I miss you," "I can't wait to see you").
- Horsemen present: 2 of 4. Stonewalling (Lucas no longer responded to Marine's emotional messages) and defensiveness (Marine systematically anticipated rejection). No contempt or aggressive criticism — a sign that the bond wasn't toxic, but it was fading.
- Trajectory over 6 months: slow deterioration. Lucas's affectionate initiatives had dropped from 12 per week to 3. Marine had compensated by over-initiating, then she too had reduced her efforts.
Making an informed decision
Let's be clear: no report, no tool, and no therapist can decide for you. The decision to stay or leave belongs to you, and it depends on factors only you know — your values, your history, your children, your tolerance threshold.
But you can make this decision with objective information rather than just the emotions of the moment. A prognosis report tells you where your relationship stands today, in what direction it's evolving, and what levers still exist to reverse the trajectory.
If the score is low but both partners are willing to invest, couples therapy can produce significant results. If one partner has already disengaged, the report helps you see it — and make your decision with full knowledge of the facts.
Consult a couples therapist with your report: it's a concrete starting point for deep work, far more effective than a first session spent "telling the situation."
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In-depth analysis: Discover the Gottman method applied to your conversations — and understand why the 5:1 ratio is the best predictor of relationship survival. Also worth exploring: Breakup test (30 questions) - Evaluate where you stand in your separation process.Want to learn more about yourself?
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Need professional support?
Gildas Garrec, CBT Psychopractitioner in Nantes, offers individual therapy, couples therapy, and structured therapeutic programs.
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